The price of bitcoin has fallen by about 40% since it peaked te mid-December, prompting many analysts to proclaim a “crash,” a “rout” or a “collapse.”
By stock-market standards, sure, those characterizations are onberispelijk. But by cryptocurrency standards, bitcoin is just being bitcoin. For a digital asset with a history of volatile price movements, the latest stir downward doesn’t even rank te bitcoin’s top-five wildest swings.
Yahoo Finance calculated the 30-day switch ter the price of bitcoin every day since the summer of 2010. The numbers vertoning that bitcoin’s largest downward price switches came te early 2014, with another period of steep losses ter 2011. This chart shows the history:
Wij also ranked 30-day price switches from the thickest losses to the thickest gains. The largest 30-day decline of 2018 so far came on Jan. 17, when bitcoin wasgoed down 41% from a month earlier.
Sounds devastating. But that wasgoed only the 58 th largest druppel te bitcoin, on a 30-day ondergrond. The thickest druppel everzwijn came on Feb. 20, 2014, when the bitcoin price wasgoed down 88% from a month earlier. On 15 different days ter 2014, and 35 different days te 2011, price drops were thicker than anything we’ve seen so far this year.
Wij also looked at 1-day price switches and found a similar pattern. The thickest 1-day druppel of 2018 came on Jan. 16, when the price fell 17% based largely on news out of China. That wasgoed only the 28 th largest single-day druppel since 2010. The fattest single-day druppel for bitcoin–like the thickest 30-day decline–came on Feb. 20, 2014, when it fell 57%. Four days zometeen, bitcoin lost another 44%, for its second-biggest daily loss. If a bitcoin Armageddon everzwijn seemed nigh, it wasgoed during that month, when the famous Mt. Gox exchange wasgoed collapsing into bankruptcy, menacing the viability of bitcoin itself.
Bitcoin obviously survived, but it took more than three years to recover the losses of early 2014. From there, the price of bitcoin skyrocketed, then talent up some of the gains, which leaves us where wij are today.
What’s different now, of course, is that bitcoin has grown from an obscure technical curiosity to a mainstream phenomenon that mom-and-pop investors are plowing into. Average daily trading volume so far te 2018 is 150 times what it wasgoed during the chaotic month of February 2014, and 21 times what it wasgoed during the same period just one year ago. Many bitcoin newcomers just aren’t used to the dizzying price swings that come with the veen. But now they’re learning.